|論文名稱(英)||Viatical Settlements Securitization, Pricing, and Risk Analysis|
Viatical Settlement Securitization(VSS)
Optimal Equity Ratio
Tranche Risk Spread
Symmetrical Probability of Life-expectancy Inaccuracy
Asymmetric Probability of Life-expectancy Inaccuracy|
|摘要(英)||This paper analyzes and studies the key factors to influence the securitization of viatical settlement (VSS). To reduce risks, a viatical company can pack the insurance policies into a pool and sells it by tranches through securitization. Except the legal factors, the key points to influence whether VSS can work or not is how to reasonably evaluate VSS and how to quantify the risks of VSS. In this research, we establish pricing model for VSS and study the relationship between the risks life expectancy and the stability of VSS cash flow by numerical analysis.
The credit enhancement method of this study is to setting equity class (residual class). Totally one equity class and five traches with term to maturity of 1~5 years are classified and valued through our valuation process. By setting the optimal allocation of equity proportion with simulation, we can allocate and value the five traches for securitization. The study shows that by only using adequate equity proportion for internal credit enhancement the VSS can be feasible for investment.
CATALOG OF FIGURES 5
CATALOG OF TABLES 7
CATALOG OF APPENDIX 8
1. INTRODUCTION 10
1.1. BACKGROUND 10
1.2. MOTIVATIONS OF THE STUDY 11
1.3. OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY 12
1.4. ELIGIBILITY OF THE POLICIES 13
1.5. RESEARCH PROCESS 14
2. LITERATURE REVIEW 15
3. STRUCTURE OF VIATICAL SETTLEMENT SECURITIZATION 19
3.1. DIFFERENCE BETWEEN VSS AND OTHER ABS 19
3.2. PARTICIPATORS OF VIATICAL SETTLEMENT SECURITIZATION 20
3.3. TRANSACTION PROCESS OF VIATICAL SETTLEMENT SECURITIZATION 22
4. PRICING MODEL OF VIATICAL SETTLEMENTS SECURITIZATION 26
4.1. TO ESTIMATE VIATOR’S LIFE EXPECTANCE 26
4.2. PRICING MODEL OF VIATICAL SETTLEMENT SECURITIZATION 27
5. VSS RISK ANALYSIS AND SPREADS SIMULATIONS 30
5.1. UNDER SYMMETRIC PROBABILITY OF LIFE-EXPECTANCE INACCURACY 32
5.1.1. The relationship between LEI and the stability of VSS 33
5.1.2. The relationship between LEI and securitization life 36
5.1.3. The relationship between of equity ratio and the stability of VSS 37
5.1.4. The relationship between the price of policy pool and spreads of tranche securities 39
5.2. UNDER ASYMMETRIC PROBABILITY OF LIFE-EXPECTANCE INACCURACY 43
5.2.1. The relationship between LEI and the stability of VSS 44
5.2.2. The relationship between life-expectance accuracy and securitization life 46
5.2.3. The relationship between of equity ratio and the stability of VSS 47
5.2.4. The relationship between the price of policy pool and spreads of tranche securities 49
6. CONCLUSIONS 52
6.1. CONCLUSIONS 52
6.2. SUGGESTIONS 53
7. REFERENCES 54
8. APPENDIX 55
|參考文獻|| Commercial Times, 5th site finance news, 2004/11/16, “Bureau of Bank said “yes” for foreign VSS products introduce into Taiwan if the risk of VSS can be evaluate and the stability of VSS is high.
 Commercial Times, 5th site finance news, 2004/11/10, “Financial Supervisory Commission, Executive Yuan: Financial Supervisory Commission is accelerating to deregulate VSS”
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 Wen-Kuo Chen, 2001, “An Analysis on the Feasibility of Introducing Viatical Settlements of Life Insurance Policy in Taiwan”, Feng Chia University.
 Yu-Fon Lin, 2003, “The Design and Risk of Vitical Settlement Investment“, Fu Jen Catholic University.
 The North Carolina department of insurance, 2002, “a consumer’s guide to viatical settlements”.
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 Houts, Badresbia, Bansal, Ballentine, 2002, “Vicatical Settlements-effects on Terminally Ill Patients”, American Cancer Society Cancer Practice.
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|異動記錄||M admin Y2008.M7.D3 23:18 18.104.22.168|